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To reverse a decade of weakening total element performance, regional labour market policy is shifting from simple job production to handling active workforce transitions. Governments and companies are scaling short, modular training programmes and micro-credentials in data analytics and digital operations to equip employees for emerging roles. Workplace-based learning and apprenticeship-style paths are becoming more typical as companies integrate AI tools into daily workflows.
With oil rates anticipated to average $55-60 per barrel in 2026, local federal governments are heightening their concentrate on expense discipline and private capital mobilisation. Financial policy is pivoting toward the monetisation of state-owned possessions in logistics, energies, and desalination to reroute funds toward higher-impact financial investments. While loaning through sukuk and sustainability-linked bonds is anticipated to increase to fund strategic deficits, the focus stays on strengthening non-oil profits frameworks.
PwC Middle East financial policy and method partner Jing Teow said: "Having already mobilised capital and policy at scale, GCC governments are now concentrated on shipment. In 2026, the top priority is strengthening financial strength through more secure trade and financial investment relationships, reliable AI release, managed labor force shifts and disciplined fiscal policy in a more difficult and fragmented worldwide environment.".
Saudi Arabia and UAE are poised to lead the Gulf area's financial growth in 2026, supported by strong private-sector efficiency, resistant domestic demand and renewed financial investment momentum, according to the most recent ICAEW Economic Insight Q4 2025 report, produced by Oxford Economics. The GCC is expected to exceed most global regions peers next year, with local GDP forecast to grow by 4.4%. Throughout the GCC, non-energy activity is predicted to broaden by 4.1% in 2026, driven by strong labour markets, enhancing credit conditions and rising financial investment in technology and AI-related infrastructure.
Although oil revenues will be under pressure in the very first half of 2026, production is anticipated to increase again in the 2nd half of 2026, supporting the region's medium-term outlook, it mentioned. Saudi Arabia will stay a major factor to GCC momentum, with GDP forecast to grow 4.3% in 2026.
Development will be supported by industrial growth and policy reforms, consisting of relieved foreign ownership rules that aim to promote further investment. The fiscal deficit is predicted to broaden to 5.6% of GDP next year in the middle of softer oil costs, while the recent five-year rent freeze in Riyadh intends to ease inflationary pressures, though it may constrain future housing supply.
Strong domestic fundamentalsThe UAE is also positioned for another strong year of performance, with GDP projection to rise 5.6% in 2026 as non-oil sectors continue to broaden. Tourist, trade and monetary services stay essential development drivers, supported by population growth and sustained domestic need. Dubai's economy grew 4.4% in the very first half of 2025, showing broad-based non-oil strength.
Oil production is anticipated to select up again in the 2nd half of 2026, complementing ongoing financial investment in infrastructure, innovation and global trade partnerships. Hanadi Khalife, the Head of Middle East, ICAEW, said: "This quarter's outlook enhances how far the GCC has come in structure diverse, resilient and internationally competitive economies.
Advanced Planning for Middle East LeadershipScott Livermore, ICAEW Economic Consultant, and Chief Economist and Handling Director, Oxford Economics Middle East, stated: "Saudi Arabia and the UAE are going into 2026 with strong foundations. Saudi non-oil activity is gaining pace, supported by robust demand and rising investment, even as fiscal pressures increase.""The UAE continues to benefit from solid domestic fundamentals, a sharp uplift in government spending and continual diversity efforts.
Advanced Planning for Middle East LeadershipWhat differentiates 2026 from preceding years is not just the velocity of technological modification, though that acceleration is genuine, but rather an essential shift in how enterprises conceive of their GCCs' purpose. The is anticipated to grow to 4 hundred thirteen billion dollars by 2040, however this growth masks a more profound change.
Instead, they ask whether these centers drive development, own profit-and-loss obligation, and contribute to competitive distinction. In 2026, the most successful GCCs will act like internal start-ups, nimble, cross-functional, insight-driven, and deeply aligned with worldwide business results. This shift from execution to ownership represents perhaps the single most substantial strategic recalibration in the GCC model's evolution.
Today, we're convening more than 3000 meetings in between investors and 119 Gulf-listed companies with a combined worth of $2.4 trillion at the HSBC GCC Exchanges Conference 2026, in London. We're uniting financiers, companies, exchanges, and policymakers to discuss what is changing in the region, and what follows, including the growth and continuous development of the Gulf's capital markets, and the area's growing function in worldwide networks of capital and trade.
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