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To reverse a decade of compromising total element performance, local labour market policy is moving from basic job creation to managing active workforce transitions. Federal governments and companies are scaling short, modular training programmes and micro-credentials in information analytics and digital operations to equip workers for emerging functions. Workplace-based knowing and apprenticeship-style paths are becoming more typical as companies incorporate AI tools into everyday workflows.
With oil costs forecasted to average $55-60 per barrel in 2026, local governments are heightening their focus on expenditure discipline and private capital mobilisation. Fiscal policy is pivoting toward the monetisation of state-owned possessions in logistics, utilities, and desalination to redirect funds toward higher-impact financial investments. While loaning by means of sukuk and sustainability-linked bonds is expected to increase to fund strategic deficits, the focus remains on enhancing non-oil revenue frameworks.
PwC Middle East economic policy and method partner Jing Teow stated: "Having already mobilised capital and policy at scale, GCC federal governments are now focused on shipment. In 2026, the top priority is reinforcing economic strength through more safe and secure trade and financial investment relationships, efficient AI deployment, handled workforce shifts and disciplined fiscal policy in a more difficult and fragmented global environment.".
Saudi Arabia and UAE are poised to lead the Gulf area's economic expansion in 2026, supported by strong private-sector efficiency, durable domestic need and restored investment momentum, according to the most recent ICAEW Economic Insight Q4 2025 report, produced by Oxford Economics. The GCC is expected to surpass most international areas peers next year, with regional GDP forecast to grow by 4.4%. Across the GCC, non-energy activity is projected to expand by 4.1% in 2026, driven by strong labour markets, enhancing credit conditions and increasing financial investment in technology and AI-related infrastructure.
Although oil earnings will be under pressure in the very first half of 2026, production is expected to rise once again in the second half of 2026, supporting the region's medium-term outlook, it stated. Saudi Arabia will remain a major factor to GCC momentum, with GDP projection to grow 4.3% in 2026.
Growth will be supported by commercial expansion and policy reforms, consisting of relieved foreign ownership rules that intend to promote further financial investment. The financial deficit is projected to broaden to 5.6% of GDP next year amidst softer oil rates, while the current five-year lease freeze in Riyadh intends to reduce inflationary pressures, though it may constrain future real estate supply.
Strong domestic fundamentalsThe UAE is likewise positioned for another strong year of performance, with GDP forecast to increase 5.6% in 2026 as non-oil sectors continue to expand. Tourist, trade and financial services remain essential growth motorists, supported by population growth and sustained domestic demand. Dubai's economy grew 4.4% in the first half of 2025, showing broad-based non-oil strength.
Oil production is expected to select up again in the 2nd half of 2026, complementing continuous financial investment in infrastructure, technology and international trade collaborations. Hanadi Khalife, the Head of Middle East, ICAEW, stated: "This quarter's outlook enhances how far the GCC has actually been available in structure varied, durable and worldwide competitive economies.
Advanced Planning for Middle East LeadershipScott Livermore, ICAEW Economic Advisor, and Chief Economist and Handling Director, Oxford Economics Middle East, said: "Saudi Arabia and the UAE are getting in 2026 with strong foundations. Saudi non-oil activity is acquiring rate, supported by robust demand and increasing financial investment, even as financial pressures increase.""The UAE continues to benefit from strong domestic basics, a sharp uplift in government costs and continual diversity efforts.
Advanced Planning for Middle East LeadershipWhat differentiates 2026 from preceding years is not simply the acceleration of technological change, though that velocity is real, however rather a fundamental shift in how business envisage their GCCs' function. The is anticipated to grow to four hundred thirteen billion dollars by 2040, but this growth masks a more profound improvement.
Rather, they ask whether these centers drive development, own profit-and-loss duty, and contribute to competitive distinction. In 2026, the most successful GCCs will act like internal start-ups, nimble, cross-functional, insight-driven, and deeply aligned with international company outcomes. This shift from execution to ownership represents perhaps the single most considerable strategic recalibration in the GCC design's advancement.
This week, we're convening more than 3000 conferences in between financiers and 119 Gulf-listed companies with a combined value of $2.4 trillion at the HSBC GCC Exchanges Conference 2026, in London. We're bringing together financiers, business, exchanges, and policymakers to discuss what is changing in the region, and what comes next, including the growth and ongoing development of the Gulf's capital markets, and the region's growing function in worldwide networks of capital and trade.
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