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To reverse a decade of damaging total aspect productivity, local labour market policy is moving from basic job creation to handling active workforce transitions. Governments and employers are scaling short, modular training programmes and micro-credentials in data analytics and digital operations to gear up workers for emerging roles. Workplace-based knowing and apprenticeship-style pathways are becoming more common as companies incorporate AI tools into daily workflows.
With oil rates anticipated to typical $55-60 per barrel in 2026, regional federal governments are intensifying their focus on expense discipline and personal capital mobilisation. Fiscal policy is pivoting toward the monetisation of state-owned assets in logistics, energies, and desalination to redirect funds toward higher-impact financial investments. While loaning by means of sukuk and sustainability-linked bonds is anticipated to increase to money tactical deficits, the focus stays on strengthening non-oil income structures.
PwC Middle East economic policy and strategy partner Jing Teow stated: "Having currently mobilised capital and policy at scale, GCC governments are now concentrated on delivery. In 2026, the top priority is enhancing financial durability through more safe trade and financial investment relationships, efficient AI release, managed workforce shifts and disciplined financial policy in a more challenging and fragmented global environment.".
Saudi Arabia and UAE are poised to lead the Gulf region's economic growth in 2026, supported by strong private-sector performance, durable domestic demand and renewed financial investment momentum, according to the most recent ICAEW Economic Insight Q4 2025 report, produced by Oxford Economics. The GCC is anticipated to outshine most worldwide areas peers next year, with local GDP forecast to grow by 4.4%. Throughout the GCC, non-energy activity is projected to expand by 4.1% in 2026, driven by strong labour markets, enhancing credit conditions and increasing financial investment in innovation and AI-related infrastructure.
Although oil profits will be under pressure in the first half of 2026, production is expected to increase once again in the second half of 2026, supporting the area's medium-term outlook, it stated. Saudi Arabia will stay a major contributor to GCC momentum, with GDP projection to grow 4.3% in 2026.
Growth will be supported by commercial growth and policy reforms, consisting of relieved foreign ownership rules that intend to promote more investment. The financial deficit is predicted to expand to 5.6% of GDP next year amid softer oil costs, while the current five-year rent freeze in Riyadh intends to alleviate inflationary pressures, though it might constrain future housing supply.
Strong domestic fundamentalsThe UAE is likewise positioned for another strong year of efficiency, with GDP forecast to increase 5.6% in 2026 as non-oil sectors continue to broaden. Tourism, trade and monetary services stay key development motorists, supported by population growth and continual domestic need. Dubai's economy grew 4.4% in the very first half of 2025, reflecting broad-based non-oil strength.
Oil production is anticipated to select up again in the second half of 2026, complementing continuous investment in infrastructure, technology and worldwide trade partnerships. Hanadi Khalife, the Head of Middle East, ICAEW, stated: "This quarter's outlook strengthens how far the GCC has actually can be found in structure diverse, resistant and globally competitive economies.
Six Errors to Prevent When Going Into the Saudi MarketScott Livermore, ICAEW Economic Consultant, and Chief Economic Expert and Managing Director, Oxford Economics Middle East, said: "Saudi Arabia and the UAE are going into 2026 with strong foundations. Saudi non-oil activity is getting speed, supported by robust need and rising financial investment, even as fiscal pressures increase.""The UAE continues to take advantage of solid domestic basics, a sharp uplift in federal government spending and sustained diversity efforts.
Compliance Survival Guide for Businesses Operating in MuscatWhat identifies 2026 from preceding years is not just the acceleration of technological change, though that acceleration is real, but rather a fundamental shift in how business envisage their GCCs' function. The is anticipated to grow to four hundred thirteen billion dollars by 2040, but this growth masks a more extensive improvement.
Instead, they ask whether these centers drive innovation, own profit-and-loss obligation, and add to competitive differentiation. In 2026, the most successful GCCs will act like internal startups, nimble, cross-functional, insight-driven, and deeply aligned with international organization results. This shift from execution to ownership represents perhaps the single most considerable tactical recalibration in the GCC model's development.
Today, we're convening more than 3000 meetings between financiers and 119 Gulf-listed companies with a combined value of $2.4 trillion at the HSBC GCC Exchanges Conference 2026, in London. We're combining financiers, companies, exchanges, and policymakers to discuss what is changing in the area, and what comes next, consisting of the expansion and ongoing development of the Gulf's capital markets, and the area's growing function in worldwide networks of capital and trade.
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